Can never be to carefully though. I just saw it escalating a bit there. Sorry if I have miss read it though all.
If it's like 5 years ago, just them talking to people and playing with the swing-omitor till the results start coming in when they will start painting a map.
Though it does sound like not a good option but I know people who have gone on a election as an independent. Anyway if I know this is not an option may people would go for.
Very interesting article, a game predicting the future. But these predictions seem to be on a one party government but as we all know that it's more likely to be another coalition, still I recommend the read